The rates of Treasury Direct bonds are rising this Monday (18), compared to the closing of the last trading session — which was only on Thursday (14), due to the holiday on the 15th.
In the first update of the day, at 9:32 am, the yields of the fixed-rate bonds 2027, 2031 and the one with semiannual interest 2035 were up at 13.40%, 13.06% and 12.87%, against the previous 13.31%, 13.13% and 12.77%, respectively.
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While the rates of the IPCA+ Treasury bonds maturing in 2029, 2035 and 2045 yielded 6.94%, 6.75% and 6.76%, respectively. Bonds were also trading higher, having closed the last session at 6.91%, 6.67% and 6.68%.
The increase in rates comes as the market awaits the release of the spending containment package, which the government said it will release later this week, and due to the increase in inflation and Selic projections in the Focus Bulletin.
The economists consulted by the Central Bank raised the projection for inflation in 2024 from 4.62% to 4.64%. The estimate is further away from the ceiling of the Broad Consumer Price Index (IPCA) target, of 4.50%.
For 2025 and 2026, inflation forecasts rose to 4.12% and 3.70%, and for 2027, they remain at 3.50%.
The estimate for the Selic in 2025 increased by 0.50 percentage points, from 11.50% to 12%. For 2024, 2026 and 2027, they remain at 11.75%, 10% and 9.25%, respectively.